TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148667
Played Sep 18Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185116111012––
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 65.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 4–1 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Khomenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1665 vs Slozka 1653
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 30% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -2 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 34% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.91 / Slozka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13148667
Khomenko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 68 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back30% 29 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Slozka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 83 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it71% 56 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKhomenko4wins
AwaySlozka1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKhomenko leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko100%4 of 4
AwaySlozkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko4Slozka1n = 5Khomenko took 4 of 5
S2Khomenko5Slozka0n = 5Khomenko took 5 of 5
S3Khomenko5Slozka0n = 5Khomenko took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home480%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKhomenkoSlozkaK − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match35.825.8+10.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 843 vs 381 / 83655.3%45.6%466 / 843 vs 381 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKhomenko 1.91/Slozka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka239770
WFeb 27 · 06:35M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka208480
LFeb 25 · 22:00M. Khomenko4781111892V. Slozka48118711113
WDec 11 · 14:35M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka148240
WDec 11 · 04:00M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka249960
M. Khomenko10
LSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670LSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281WSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121LSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113LSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113LSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.3876110Y. Vorsuliak1.531111133WSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112
V. Slozka10
WSep 18 · 10:05V. Slozka1.571111113Y. Vorsuliak2.256450WSep 18 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi3.251241041V. Slozka1.33101112113LSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171LSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112WSep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.0012106101V. Slozka1.36101211123WSep 17 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3851070V. Slozka1.531112113LSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830LSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110LSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652
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