TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142091
Played Sep 17Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117117––––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 64.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 3–1 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1721 vs Slozka 1667
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 80% vs Slozka 50%
Khomenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -1 · Slozka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.53 / Slozka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Khomenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142091
Khomenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 78 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it100% 46 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Slozka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKhomenko3wins
AwaySlozka1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKhomenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko100%3 of 3
AwaySlozkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko3Slozka1n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4
S2Khomenko4Slozka0n = 4Khomenko took 4 of 4
S3Khomenko4Slozka0n = 4Khomenko took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKhomenkoSlozkaK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.526.5+10.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 851 vs 382 / 83855.2%45.6%470 / 851 vs 382 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.53/Slozka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WFeb 27 · 06:35M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka208480
LFeb 25 · 22:00M. Khomenko4781111892V. Slozka48118711113
WDec 11 · 14:35M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka148240
WDec 11 · 04:00M. Khomenko331111113V. Slozka249960
M. Khomenko10
LSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112WSep 14 · 09:35M. Khomenko1.40117118113Y. Tebenko2.7531181172LSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133WSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371WSep 14 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.80141198113O. Rodin1.91128111192WSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103WSep 13 · 17:35M. Khomenko1.8311118102O. Rodin1.836411101WSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193WSep 13 · 13:35R. Novak1.8091111882M. Khomenko1.91116711113WSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133
V. Slozka10
LSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652WSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113LSep 16 · 21:30O. Rodin2.201111113V. Slozka1.617790WSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113LSep 11 · 11:35V. Slozka1.839148101V. Krokhmal1.83111211123LSep 11 · 09:35M. Loboda1.67111158123V. Slozka2.10961111102LSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162WSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182WSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113
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