TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136403
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksii Rodin
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117119––––
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 58.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 0–3 Viktor Slozka Oleksii Rodin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1639 vs Slozka 1670
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 60% vs Slozka 40%
Rodin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 60% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin +1 · Slozka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 2.20 / Slozka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Slozka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136403
Rodin2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 26 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Slozka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 81 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it71% 54 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRodin0wins
AwaySlozka3wins
Slozka leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rodin1Slozka2n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
S2Rodin0Slozka3n = 3Slozka took 3 of 3
S3Rodin1Slozka2n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricRodinSlozkaR − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match26.036.7−10.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 311 vs 381 / 83859.2%45.5%184 / 311 vs 381 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaRodin 2.20/Slozka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 28 · 11:05O. Rodin31118841V. Slozka4181111113
LAug 27 · 14:05O. Rodin29371181V. Slozka3611113113
LAug 26 · 22:00O. Rodin188550V. Slozka331111113
O. Rodin10
WSep 16 · 20:00O. Rodin2.00131111113V. Krokhmal1.73156771LSep 14 · 11:35Y. Tebenko3.0011125133O. Rodin1.3671011111LSep 14 · 10:05O. Rodin1.8381111172Y. Vorsuliak1.83111189113WSep 14 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.6391111782O. Rodin1.44119911113WSep 14 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.633870O. Rodin1.441111113LSep 14 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.80141198113O. Rodin1.91128111192WSep 13 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk2.63471131O. Rodin1.4411119113LSep 13 · 17:35M. Khomenko1.8311118102O. Rodin1.836411101WSep 13 · 16:05Y. Kolos2.108860O. Rodin1.67111162WSep 13 · 14:05Y. Parahailo2.388980O. Rodin1.531111113
V. Slozka10
WSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113LSep 11 · 11:35V. Slozka1.839148101V. Krokhmal1.83111211123LSep 11 · 09:35M. Loboda1.67111158123V. Slozka2.10961111102LSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162WSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182WSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.006970WSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031
Upcoming Matches
O. Rodin
Sep 16 · 23:00O. Rodin1.91Y. Vorsuliak1.80—Sep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00D. Shchegelskyi1.73—Sep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 17 · 13:05O. Rodin2.00D. Shchegelskyi1.73—Sep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin2.20V. Slozka1.61—Sep 17 · 15:05O. Rodin1.83M. Khomenko1.83—Sep 17 · 17:05O. Rodin2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.91Y. Vorsuliak1.80—
V. Slozka
Sep 16 · 23:30V. Slozka1.44D. Shchegelskyi2.63—Sep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.83V. Krokhmal1.83—Sep 17 · 03:00V. Slozka1.61Y. Vorsuliak2.20—Sep 17 · 12:05V. Slozka2.63M. Khomenko1.44—Sep 17 · 14:05V. Slozka1.61O. Rodin2.20—Sep 17 · 16:05V. Slozka2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 17 · 17:35V. Slozka1.61Y. Vorsuliak2.20—Sep 17 · 18:35V. Slozka1.44D. Shchegelskyi2.63—
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