Oleksii Rodin vs Vitalii Krokhmal 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13136402

Played Sep 16Finished

Oleksii Rodin

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1315116117117––

Vitalii Krokhmal

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%

Graded at full time

Oleksii Rodin to win

61.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Vitalii Krokhmal below

Set 1 · 13-15

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 81 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 61.2%

81 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:05

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Krokhmal

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Rodin 1627 vs Krokhmal 1618

Rodin

Correct

both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rodin 40% vs Krokhmal 20%

Rodin

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rodin 60% vs Krokhmal 20%

Rodin

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Rodin -2 · Krokhmal -3

Krokhmal

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRodin 2.00 / Krokhmal 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Krokhmal)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13136402

Rodin2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog48% won 26 of 54

Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20

Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10

Krokhmal1.73

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite48% won 51 of 106

Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricRodinKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 310 vs 169 / 36859%45.9%183 / 310 vs 169 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Krokhmal

Rodin 2.00/Krokhmal 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Krokhmal · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Rodin won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Rodin10