TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128693
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11814121412––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 71 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 63.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 4–13 Vitalii Krokhmal Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:13What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-13 in 17
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1548 vs Krokhmal 1624
Krokhmal
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Shchegelskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Shchegelskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.50 / Krokhmal 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Krokhmal)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13128693
Shchegelskyi2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 57 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Krokhmal1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 51 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi2wins
AwayKrokhmal8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi50%2 of 4
AwayKrokhmal100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Shchegelskyi2Krokhmal8n = 10Krokhmal took 8 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi2Krokhmal3n = 5Krokhmal took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiKrokhmalS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.4−2.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 912 vs 166 / 36052.7%46.1%481 / 912 vs 166 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalShchegelskyi 2.50/Krokhmal 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi43111110113V. Krokhmal31461291
LSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi258890V. Krokhmal331111113
LSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi3289150V. Krokhmal391111173
LAug 21 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi48111111872V. Krokhmal51137911113
LAug 20 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi401111991V. Krokhmal4113611113
LAug 16 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi219660V. Krokhmal331111113
LJun 28 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi34118691V. Krokhmal4181111113
LJun 26 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi4514971142V. Krokhmal481211113113
WJun 25 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi331111113V. Krokhmal203890
LJun 24 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi28610120V. Krokhmal371112143
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 14 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.441111143D. Shchegelskyi2.6398120WSep 14 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi2.381181111113O. Pohonov1.5381171392LSep 11 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.107660Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2010111081Y. Vorsuliak1.6112912113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 14 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.731211113V. Krokhmal2.0010590LSep 14 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.10119611113V. Krokhmal1.6751111772WSep 11 · 11:35V. Slozka1.839148101V. Krokhmal1.83111211123WSep 11 · 10:05V. Krokhmal1.8061111133Y. Vorsuliak1.911199111LSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.671168111V. Krokhmal2.1091111133WSep 11 · 05:05M. Loboda1.8311611382V. Krokhmal1.83511811113WSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113WSep 10 · 16:05M. Loboda1.80711971V. Krokhmal1.9111311113
Upcoming Matches
D. Shchegelskyi
V. Krokhmal
Sep 15 · 01:45V. Krokhmal1.83M. Loboda1.83—Sep 15 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00O. Pohonov1.73—Sep 15 · 20:00V. Krokhmal2.20G. Kuzmenko1.61—Sep 15 · 22:00V. Krokhmal2.25I. Sukovatyi1.57—Sep 16 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.67R. Konkulovskyi2.10—Sep 16 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.91A. Romanenko1.80—Sep 16 · 02:30V. Krokhmal2.75B. Chaikovskyi1.40—
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