TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111092
Played Sep 11Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196118111113––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.6%
80 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 43–31 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 31 of their 74 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-31 in 74
Hrekh
Wrong
gap of 12 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1715 vs Krokhmal 1639
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 70% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -2 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Krokhmal 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111092
Hrekh1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 177 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it96% 102 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it79% 139 of 177
Krokhmal2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 111 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwayKrokhmal5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh55.6%5 of 9
AwayKrokhmaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh9Krokhmal1n = 10Hrekh took 9 of 10
S2Hrekh4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh6Krokhmal4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S4Hrekh2Krokhmal6n = 8Krokhmal took 6 of 8
S5Hrekh2Krokhmal3n = 5Krokhmal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhKrokhmalH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.7+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 525 vs 164 / 35552%46.2%273 / 525 vs 164 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.67/Krokhmal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:05I. Hrekh—1168111V. Krokhmal—91111133
WSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh—119118123V. Krokhmal—911311102
WSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh—1111113V. Krokhmal—4660
LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh—811111032V. Krokhmal—119412113
LAug 21 · 04:35I. Hrekh—1161031V. Krokhmal—71112113
WAug 16 · 21:45I. Hrekh—119114113V. Krokhmal—81171162
WAug 8 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11116113V. Krokhmal—591151
LAug 6 · 04:35I. Hrekh—119115122V. Krokhmal—211711143
WAug 5 · 12:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Krokhmal—9650
LAug 4 · 21:30I. Hrekh—12891152V. Krokhmal—1011114113
I. Hrekh10
WSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162LSep 11 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.447590Y. Vorsuliak2.631111113LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.00612851M. Loboda1.73111011113WSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171WSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 05:05M. Loboda1.8311611382V. Krokhmal1.83511811113WSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113WSep 10 · 16:05M. Loboda1.80711971V. Krokhmal1.9111311113LSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031LSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680LSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810
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