TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105713
Played Sep 10Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199111138111210
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.6%
95 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 42–30 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 30 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-30 in 72
Hrekh
Correct
gap of 12 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1747 vs Krokhmal 1612
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 100% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 80% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +5 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.61 / Krokhmal 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105713
Hrekh1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 174 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it78% 136 of 174
Krokhmal2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh57.1%4 of 7
AwayKrokhmal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Krokhmal3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh7Krokhmal3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh2Krokhmal6n = 8Krokhmal took 6 of 8
S5Hrekh1Krokhmal3n = 4Krokhmal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhKrokhmalH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.7+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 517 vs 159 / 34852%45.7%269 / 517 vs 159 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.61/Krokhmal 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh—1111113V. Krokhmal—4660
LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh—811111032V. Krokhmal—119412113
LAug 21 · 04:35I. Hrekh—1161031V. Krokhmal—71112113
WAug 16 · 21:45I. Hrekh—119114113V. Krokhmal—81171162
WAug 8 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11116113V. Krokhmal—591151
LAug 6 · 04:35I. Hrekh—119115122V. Krokhmal—211711143
WAug 5 · 12:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Krokhmal—9650
LAug 4 · 21:30I. Hrekh—12891152V. Krokhmal—1011114113
LAug 3 · 02:45I. Hrekh—14811111V. Krokhmal—16115133
LJul 31 · 07:35I. Hrekh—991271V. Krokhmal—111110113
I. Hrekh10
WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.6711119113V. Slozka2.10891171WSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680LSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292
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