TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099803
Played Sep 10Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118111––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 47 set 3, 11-1 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 31–35 Vitalii Krokhmal Myroslav Loboda has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:21What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-35 in 66
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 4 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1627 vs Krokhmal 1625
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 20% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -4 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.83 / Krokhmal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Loboda)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13099803
Loboda1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayKrokhmal5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda50%3 of 6
AwayKrokhmal50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Krokhmal4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S3Loboda6Krokhmal4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S4Loboda4Krokhmal3n = 7Loboda took 4 of 7
S5Loboda2Krokhmal3n = 5Krokhmal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaKrokhmalL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.037.4+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 933 vs 158 / 34551.7%45.8%482 / 933 vs 158 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.83/Krokhmal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 01:30M. Loboda—118911102V. Krokhmal—811119123
WAug 21 · 08:35M. Loboda—11611113V. Krokhmal—811761
WAug 20 · 12:05M. Loboda—71111113V. Krokhmal—116851
LAug 16 · 20:45M. Loboda—91180V. Krokhmal—1113113
WAug 2 · 20:15M. Loboda—1111113V. Krokhmal—4770
LJul 31 · 09:35M. Loboda—116111062V. Krokhmal—811812113
LJul 30 · 16:05M. Loboda—6610V. Krokhmal—1111113
LJul 29 · 20:00M. Loboda—11712742V. Krokhmal—5111011113
WJul 28 · 24:15M. Loboda—112911113V. Krokhmal—41111192
WJul 24 · 08:35M. Loboda—5111111113V. Krokhmal—11621392
M. Loboda10
WSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda1.6181111282D. Shchegelskyi2.20118911113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113LSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171WSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680LSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890
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