TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089274
Played Sep 8Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111191012811––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 16–23 Myroslav Loboda Gregory Kuzmenko has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:00What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-23 in 39
Loboda
Correct
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1807 vs Loboda 1662
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 100% vs Loboda 60%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 90% vs Loboda 60%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +5 · Loboda -1
Kuzmenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.20 / Loboda 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Loboda)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089274
Kuzmenko2.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 61 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Loboda1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 173 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 96 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it70% 139 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko4wins
AwayLoboda6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%3 of 3
AwayLoboda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmenko3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmenko1Loboda2n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
S5Kuzmenko2Loboda1n = 3Kuzmenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoLobodaK − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.235.6−3.4per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 563 vs 483 / 93249.2%51.8%277 / 563 vs 483 / 932Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaKuzmenko 2.20/Loboda 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—111193113M. Loboda—94111132
LAug 20 · 17:44G. Kuzmenko—91060M. Loboda—1112113
WAug 20 · 13:35G. Kuzmenko—1111143M. Loboda—86120
LAug 14 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—9880M. Loboda—1111113
WAug 13 · 14:35G. Kuzmenko—1211113M. Loboda—10780
LAug 13 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko—75110M. Loboda—1111133
WAug 7 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—611116123M. Loboda—118611102
LAug 6 · 14:35G. Kuzmenko—5390M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 6 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko—9580M. Loboda—1111113
LJul 24 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—101491152M. Loboda—1212117113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100WSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113
M. Loboda10
LSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171WSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880
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