TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089408
Played Sep 7Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511811116112119
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 57.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 17–18 Vitalii Krokhmal Gregory Kuzmenko has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1795 vs Krokhmal 1605
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 100% vs Krokhmal 20%
Kuzmenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 80% vs Krokhmal 20%
Kuzmenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +5 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.61 / Krokhmal 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089408
Kuzmenko1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Krokhmal2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 108 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko6wins
AwayKrokhmal4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%3 of 3
AwayKrokhmal57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko7Krokhmal3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Krokhmal4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko5Krokhmal1n = 6Kuzmenko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKrokhmalKuzmenko − KrokhmalBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.9+3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 561 vs 154 / 33849%45.6%275 / 561 vs 154 / 338Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.61/Krokhmal 2.20
Hit
What we said
57.7%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko—1111113V. Krokhmal—5520
WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko—51111223V. Krokhmal—1188201
WAug 27 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—1111113V. Krokhmal—9840
WAug 26 · 17:44G. Kuzmenko—171111113V. Krokhmal—196451
LAug 26 · 13:35G. Kuzmenko—1211791V. Krokhmal—14711113
LAug 22 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko—31090V. Krokhmal—1112113
LAug 21 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—581111102V. Krokhmal—111176123
WAug 20 · 14:35G. Kuzmenko—91111113V. Krokhmal—118891
WJul 24 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—111117113V. Krokhmal—781981
LJul 23 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko—8590V. Krokhmal—1111113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201
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