TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088660
Played Sep 7Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191141012311
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 90 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 41–30 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 30 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-30 in 71
Hrekh
Wrong
gap of 11 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1657 vs Krokhmal 1613
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -2 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Krokhmal 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13088660
Hrekh1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 172 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it96% 97 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 134 of 172
Krokhmal2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 108 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh57.1%4 of 7
AwayKrokhmal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Krokhmal3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh7Krokhmal3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh2Krokhmal6n = 8Krokhmal took 6 of 8
S5Hrekh1Krokhmal3n = 4Krokhmal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhKrokhmalH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.9+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 509 vs 155 / 34051.3%45.6%261 / 509 vs 155 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.67/Krokhmal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh—811111032V. Krokhmal—119412113
LAug 21 · 04:35I. Hrekh—1161031V. Krokhmal—71112113
WAug 16 · 21:45I. Hrekh—119114113V. Krokhmal—81171162
WAug 8 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11116113V. Krokhmal—591151
LAug 6 · 04:35I. Hrekh—119115122V. Krokhmal—211711143
WAug 5 · 12:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Krokhmal—9650
LAug 4 · 21:30I. Hrekh—12891152V. Krokhmal—1011114113
LAug 3 · 02:45I. Hrekh—14811111V. Krokhmal—16115133
LJul 31 · 07:35I. Hrekh—991271V. Krokhmal—111110113
WJul 30 · 12:05I. Hrekh—1211113V. Krokhmal—10260
I. Hrekh10
LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380
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