TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089366
Played Sep 7Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10125111012––––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 56.6%
60 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 40–52 Myroslav Loboda Iurii Hrekh has won 40 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-52 in 92
Loboda
Correct
gap of 12 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1670 vs Loboda 1673
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 80% vs Loboda 40%
Hrekh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Loboda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -1 · Loboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.10 / Loboda 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089366
Hrekh2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Loboda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 173 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 96 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it70% 139 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayLoboda6wins
Loboda leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S3Hrekh6Loboda4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S4Hrekh3Loboda2n = 5Hrekh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhLobodaH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.434.1−0.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 508 vs 483 / 93151.4%51.9%261 / 508 vs 483 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaHrekh 2.10/Loboda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh—105100M. Loboda—1211123
WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh—11616113M. Loboda—7111451
LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh—1291191M. Loboda—14115113
WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh—71211113M. Loboda—1110571
WSep 3 · 02:00I. Hrekh—101111143M. Loboda—1286121
LAug 31 · 02:15I. Hrekh—6990M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 28 · 10:35I. Hrekh—591161M. Loboda—11115113
WAug 27 · 18:05I. Hrekh—1111113M. Loboda—3790
LAug 27 · 02:00I. Hrekh—10960M. Loboda—1211113
LAug 21 · 10:35I. Hrekh—8790M. Loboda—1111113
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113
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