TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088611
Played Sep 7Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101012114611117
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 59.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 27–21 Roman Konkulovskyi Roman Konkulovskyi has won 21 of their 48 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:43What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-21 in 48
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1800 vs Konkulovskyi 1657
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 100% vs Konkulovskyi 40%
Kuzmenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 80% vs Konkulovskyi 30%
Kuzmenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +5 · Konkulovskyi +1
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.67 / Konkulovskyi 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088611
Kuzmenko1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Konkulovskyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 121 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko3wins
AwayKonkulovskyi7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko50%3 of 6
AwayKonkulovskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko6Konkulovskyi4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko6Konkulovskyi4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Konkulovskyi4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko2Konkulovskyi5n = 7Konkulovskyi took 5 of 7
S5Kuzmenko0Konkulovskyi5n = 5Konkulovskyi took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKonkulovskyiKuzmenko − KonkulovskyiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.038.0+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 562 vs 337 / 67849.1%49.7%276 / 562 vs 337 / 678Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.67/Konkulovskyi 2.10
Hit
What we said
59%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko—11118442R. Konkulovskyi—741111113
LApr 1 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko—11511592R. Konkulovskyi—411511113
LApr 1 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko—612491R. Konkulovskyi—111011113
WMar 30 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—8550
LMar 11 · 17:35G. Kuzmenko—91090R. Konkulovskyi—1112113
WMar 10 · 23:30G. Kuzmenko—12911113R. Konkulovskyi—1011761
LMar 5 · 06:35G. Kuzmenko—51111792R. Konkulovskyi—117511113
LMar 4 · 19:35G. Kuzmenko—911119102R. Konkulovskyi—118511123
WMar 3 · 23:30G. Kuzmenko—1112113R. Konkulovskyi—81080
LFeb 26 · 09:35G. Kuzmenko—119101182R. Konkulovskyi—811125113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641
R. Konkulovskyi10
WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113
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