TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099781
Played Sep 9Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118119211811
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 60.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 24–20 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-20 in 44
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1641 vs Shchegelskyi 1549
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 20% vs Shchegelskyi 100%
Shchegelskyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 40% vs Shchegelskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -3 · Shchegelskyi +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.61 / Shchegelskyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Loboda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13099781
Loboda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 172 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it89% 96 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it71% 139 of 197
Shchegelskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 66 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayShchegelskyi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda71.4%5 of 7
AwayShchegelskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda7Shchegelskyi3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Loboda6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S3Loboda4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Loboda3Shchegelskyi5n = 8Shchegelskyi took 5 of 8
S5Loboda2Shchegelskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.9+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 932 vs 477 / 90151.7%52.9%482 / 932 vs 477 / 901Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.61/Shchegelskyi 2.20
Miss
What we said
58.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 18:35M. Loboda—1111113D. Shchegelskyi—9970
LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda—111111892D. Shchegelskyi—591311113
LSep 3 · 14:35M. Loboda—1011371D. Shchegelskyi—12811113
WSep 2 · 22:30M. Loboda—1191211123D. Shchegelskyi—411146102
WAug 28 · 09:35M. Loboda—11411113D. Shchegelskyi—911391
LAug 27 · 14:35M. Loboda—911671D. Shchegelskyi—11611113
WAug 26 · 22:30M. Loboda—1113113D. Shchegelskyi—61180
LAug 23 · 22:15M. Loboda—11121012102D. Shchegelskyi—5141210123
LAug 21 · 09:35M. Loboda—7911111D. Shchegelskyi—11117133
WAug 20 · 16:35M. Loboda—1111106113D. Shchegelskyi—79121182
M. Loboda10
LSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113LSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171WSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581WSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123WSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542
Upcoming Matches
M. Loboda
D. Shchegelskyi
Sep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.50V. Slozka1.50—Sep 10 · 24:30D. Shchegelskyi2.38I. Hrekh1.53—Sep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.25V. Krokhmal1.57—Sep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63V. Slozka1.44—Sep 10 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20M. Loboda1.61—Sep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20Y. Vorsuliak1.61—Sep 10 · 16:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38I. Hrekh1.53—Sep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.25V. Krokhmal1.57—
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