TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099788
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117115118––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 59.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 37–46 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 37 of their 83 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:13What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorsuliak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-46 in 83
Vorsuliak
Wrong
gap of 9 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1534 vs Vorsuliak 1610
Vorsuliak
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 80% vs Vorsuliak 60%
Shchegelskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Vorsuliak 60%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi +4 · Vorsuliak -2
Shchegelskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.20 / Vorsuliak 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13099788
Shchegelskyi2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 66 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Vorsuliak1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi2wins
AwayVorsuliak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayVorsuliak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi3Vorsuliak7n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi3Vorsuliak7n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S3Shchegelskyi4Vorsuliak6n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi1Vorsuliak6n = 7Vorsuliak took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiVorsuliakS − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.141.9−8.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 900 vs 448 / 88652.9%50.6%476 / 900 vs 448 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakShchegelskyi 2.20/Vorsuliak 1.61
Miss
What we said
59.3%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi—1011111582Y. Vorsuliak—125917113
LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi—135221Y. Vorsuliak—111111113
LSep 4 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi—4470Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WSep 3 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi—411113123Y. Vorsuliak—117711102
WSep 3 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi—13717133Y. Vorsuliak—111115111
LAug 30 · 16:35D. Shchegelskyi—10101171Y. Vorsuliak—12128113
LAug 28 · 11:35D. Shchegelskyi—8670Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LAug 27 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi—74100Y. Vorsuliak—1111123
LAug 26 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi—4111081Y. Vorsuliak—11712113
LAug 10 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi—1176111Y. Vorsuliak—81111133
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123WSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Shchegelskyi
Sep 9 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi2.20M. Loboda1.61—Sep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63V. Slozka1.44—Sep 10 · 24:30D. Shchegelskyi2.38I. Hrekh1.53—Sep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.25V. Krokhmal1.57—Sep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63V. Slozka1.44—Sep 10 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20M. Loboda1.61—Sep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20Y. Vorsuliak1.61—Sep 10 · 16:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38I. Hrekh1.53—Sep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.25V. Krokhmal1.57—
Y. Vorsuliak
Sep 9 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak2.63I. Hrekh1.44—Sep 10 · 01:00Y. Vorsuliak2.63M. Loboda1.44—Sep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.50V. Slozka1.50—Sep 10 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63M. Loboda1.44—Sep 10 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63I. Hrekh1.44—Sep 10 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.61D. Shchegelskyi2.20—Sep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.91V. Krokhmal1.80—Sep 10 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak2.50V. Slozka1.50—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.