TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13091789
Played Sep 7Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161187117111012
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12
94 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 46–37 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 37 of their 83 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.67 / Shchegelskyi 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13091789
Vorsuliak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 100 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Shchegelskyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak8wins
AwayShchegelskyi2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak85.7%6 of 7
AwayShchegelskyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak7Shchegelskyi3n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S2Vorsuliak7Shchegelskyi3n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S3Vorsuliak6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S4Vorsuliak6Shchegelskyi1n = 7Vorsuliak took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakShchegelskyiV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.933.1+8.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 894 vs 477 / 90450.5%52.8%451 / 894 vs 477 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakVorsuliak 1.67/Shchegelskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.4%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:35Y. Vorsuliak—125917113D. Shchegelskyi—1011111582
WSep 6 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak—111111113D. Shchegelskyi—135221
WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Vorsuliak—1111113D. Shchegelskyi—4470
LSep 3 · 18:35Y. Vorsuliak—117711102D. Shchegelskyi—411113123
LSep 3 · 02:30Y. Vorsuliak—111115111D. Shchegelskyi—13717133
WAug 30 · 16:35Y. Vorsuliak—12128113D. Shchegelskyi—10101171
WAug 28 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak—1111113D. Shchegelskyi—8670
WAug 27 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak—1111123D. Shchegelskyi—74100
WAug 26 · 23:30Y. Vorsuliak—11712113D. Shchegelskyi—4111081
WAug 10 · 23:45Y. Vorsuliak—81111133D. Shchegelskyi—1176111
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123
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