TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089396
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Krokhmal
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111181199111210
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Krokhmal above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 100 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Krokhmal 34–29 Myroslav Loboda Myroslav Loboda has won 29 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:20What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-29 in 63
Krokhmal
Correct
gap of 5 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krokhmal 1624 vs Loboda 1679
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krokhmal 20% vs Loboda 80%
Loboda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krokhmal 20% vs Loboda 60%
Loboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krokhmal -3 · Loboda +1
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrokhmal 1.83 / Loboda 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Loboda)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089396
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Loboda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrokhmal6wins
AwayLoboda4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrokhmal66.7%4 of 6
AwayLoboda50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krokhmal6Loboda4n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Krokhmal7Loboda3n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S3Krokhmal3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Krokhmal5Loboda2n = 7Krokhmal took 5 of 7
S5Krokhmal3Loboda3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokhmalLobodaK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.6+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokhmalLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 341 vs 484 / 93345.8%51.9%156 / 341 vs 484 / 933Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaKrokhmal 1.83/Loboda 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 20:45V. Krokhmal—1113113M. Loboda—91180
LAug 2 · 20:15V. Krokhmal—4770M. Loboda—1111113
WJul 31 · 09:35V. Krokhmal—811812113M. Loboda—116111062
WJul 30 · 16:05V. Krokhmal—1111113M. Loboda—6610
WJul 29 · 20:00V. Krokhmal—5111011113M. Loboda—11712742
LJul 28 · 24:15V. Krokhmal—41111192M. Loboda—112911113
LJul 24 · 08:35V. Krokhmal—11621392M. Loboda—5111111113
WJul 23 · 16:05V. Krokhmal—11112113M. Loboda—961131
LJul 22 · 21:30V. Krokhmal—11119692M. Loboda—661111113
WJul 20 · 01:15V. Krokhmal—116511113M. Loboda—21111792
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101
M. Loboda10
LSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110WSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113LSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171WSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113
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