TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089262
Played Sep 7Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119411611117911
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 8–13 Vitalii Krokhmal Roman Konkulovskyi has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krokhmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Krokhmal
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1651 vs Krokhmal 1613
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 30% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.91 / Krokhmal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089262
Konkulovskyi1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 121 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Krokhmal1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 46 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi3wins
AwayKrokhmal7wins
Krokhmal leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi50%2 of 4
AwayKrokhmal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi1Krokhmal9n = 10Krokhmal took 9 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S4Konkulovskyi3Krokhmal4n = 7Krokhmal took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiKrokhmalKonkulovskyi − KrokhmalBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.436.9−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 679 vs 155 / 34049.6%45.6%337 / 679 vs 155 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalKonkulovskyi 1.91/Krokhmal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi—8290V. Krokhmal—1111113
LAug 22 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—1191051V. Krokhmal—61112113
LAug 18 · 21:30R. Konkulovskyi—471191V. Krokhmal—11119113
LAug 17 · 01:45R. Konkulovskyi—4980V. Krokhmal—1111113
WAug 16 · 01:43R. Konkulovskyi—11711123V. Krokhmal—8116101
WAug 15 · 21:45R. Konkulovskyi—11411113V. Krokhmal—811691
LAug 13 · 08:05R. Konkulovskyi—115611V. Krokhmal—51111113
LAug 12 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi—79110V. Krokhmal—1111133
WAug 11 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi—71115113V. Krokhmal—1131361
LAug 8 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—6612121V. Krokhmal—111110143
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113
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