TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088778
Played Sep 8Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181166111113118
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 3–6 Roman Konkulovskyi Iurii Hrekh has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1673 vs Konkulovskyi 1639
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Konkulovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Konkulovskyi 30%
Hrekh
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +1 · Konkulovskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Konkulovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konkulovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.00 / Konkulovskyi 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088778
Hrekh2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Konkulovskyi1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 88 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHrekh3wins
AwayKonkulovskyi6wins
1 of 9 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh75%3 of 4
AwayKonkulovskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh4Konkulovskyi5n = 9Konkulovskyi took 5 of 9
S2Hrekh4Konkulovskyi5n = 9Konkulovskyi took 5 of 9
S3Hrekh5Konkulovskyi4n = 9Hrekh took 5 of 9
S4Hrekh1Konkulovskyi3n = 4Konkulovskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHrekhKonkulovskyiH − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.335.7−2.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 510 vs 337 / 68051.4%49.6%262 / 510 vs 337 / 680Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiHrekh 2.00/Konkulovskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 9 · 02:15I. Hrekh—1511113R. Konkulovskyi—13570
LAug 5 · 16:35I. Hrekh—99130R. Konkulovskyi—1111153
WAug 5 · 02:00I. Hrekh—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—9840
LAug 2 · 22:45I. Hrekh—11261462R. Konkulovskyi—7111112113
LJul 20 · 24:45I. Hrekh—1581121R. Konkulovskyi—17116113
LJul 13 · 02:15I. Hrekh—7117101R. Konkulovskyi—11911123
WJul 12 · 02:15I. Hrekh—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—4460
LJun 2 · 24:45I. Hrekh—772031R. Konkulovskyi—111118113
LJun 1 · 24:45I. Hrekh—9550R. Konkulovskyi—1111113
I. Hrekh10
WSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121
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