TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13096148
Played Sep 9Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111181311––
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:09 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 80 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 55.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 36–67 Roman Konkulovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 36 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-67 in 103
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
gap of 31 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1794 vs Konkulovskyi 1681
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Konkulovskyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 90% vs Konkulovskyi 50%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +2 · Konkulovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Konkulovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konkulovskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 2.25 / Konkulovskyi 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13096148
Chaikovskyi2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 159 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Konkulovskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 89 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 64 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi4wins
AwayKonkulovskyi6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi50%2 of 4
AwayKonkulovskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi4Konkulovskyi6n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Chaikovskyi5Konkulovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Chaikovskyi6Konkulovskyi4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi4Konkulovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Chaikovskyi2Konkulovskyi3n = 5Konkulovskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiKonkulovskyiC − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.6+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 743 vs 341 / 68651.4%49.7%382 / 743 vs 341 / 686Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiChaikovskyi 2.25/Konkulovskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 07:05B. Chaikovskyi—11831142R. Konkulovskyi—711118113
WAug 12 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—6660
LAug 12 · 24:00B. Chaikovskyi—121012101R. Konkulovskyi—141210123
LAug 8 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi—681161R. Konkulovskyi—11116113
LAug 6 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi—1481191R. Konkulovskyi—16119113
WAug 5 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—5960
LAug 4 · 22:30B. Chaikovskyi—71161392R. Konkulovskyi—1191111113
WAug 3 · 01:15B. Chaikovskyi—611116113R. Konkulovskyi—11271152
LJul 30 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi—11981182R. Konkulovskyi—211118113
WJul 29 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi—711911113R. Konkulovskyi—11611152
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132LSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133WSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.