TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095148
Played Sep 8Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118511411117116
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:50 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 60.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 24–37 Oleksandr Pohonov Roman Konkulovskyi has won 24 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pohonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-37 in 61
Pohonov
Wrong
gap of 13 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1644 vs Pohonov 1737
Pohonov
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 30% vs Pohonov 50%
Pohonov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi +1 · Pohonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.25 / Pohonov 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095148
Konkulovskyi2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 120 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 92
Pohonov1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 190 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it93% 96 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it77% 140 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi4wins
AwayPohonov6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayPohonov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi6Pohonov4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi3Pohonov7n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S4Konkulovskyi2Pohonov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiPohonovK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match30.333.6−3.3per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 682 vs 258 / 49849.6%51.8%338 / 682 vs 258 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovKonkulovskyi 2.25/Pohonov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi—8560O. Pohonov—1111113
LAug 16 · 22:15R. Konkulovskyi—6680O. Pohonov—1111113
WJul 29 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi—111111113O. Pohonov—613591
LJul 28 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi—119591O. Pohonov—91111113
LJul 26 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—1131471O. Pohonov—81116113
WJul 23 · 11:05R. Konkulovskyi—1112123O. Pohonov—610100
WJul 22 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi—1111113O. Pohonov—8580
LJul 21 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi—65111132O. Pohonov—111188113
WJul 18 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—1111113O. Pohonov—6770
LJul 16 · 11:05R. Konkulovskyi—4820O. Pohonov—1111113
R. Konkulovskyi10
WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123
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