TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095372
Played Sep 9Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210113––––
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeVitaliy Zharskiy to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Vitaliy Zharskiy below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Vitaliy Zharskiy at 66.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 36–56 Vitaliy Zharskiy Roman Konkulovskyi has won 36 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:42What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zharskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-56 in 92
Zharskiy
Wrong
gap of 20 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1682 vs Zharskiy 1612
Konkulovskyi
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 60% vs Zharskiy 40%
Konkulovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 50% vs Zharskiy 20%
Konkulovskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi +3 · Zharskiy -2
Konkulovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zharskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.63 / Zharskiy 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zharskiy)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13095372
Konkulovskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 120 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 92
Zharskiy1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 71 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it82% 53 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi2wins
AwayZharskiy8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZharskiy leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZharskiy87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi2Zharskiy8n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi2Zharskiy8n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi3Zharskiy7n = 10Zharskiy took 7 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi1Zharskiy3n = 4Zharskiy took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiZharskiyK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.435.5−7.1per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiZharskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 684 vs 277 / 56549.7%49%340 / 684 vs 277 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZharskiyKonkulovskyi 2.63/Zharskiy 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Zharskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 02:15R. Konkulovskyi—1144121V. Zharskiy—31111143
WJul 16 · 09:05R. Konkulovskyi—811911113V. Zharskiy—11611262
LJul 15 · 16:35R. Konkulovskyi—10811111V. Zharskiy—12118133
WJul 15 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi—1112113V. Zharskiy—51090
LJun 18 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—44100V. Zharskiy—1111123
LJun 14 · 02:15R. Konkulovskyi—0101171V. Zharskiy—11128113
LJun 11 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—5560V. Zharskiy—1111113
LJun 10 · 16:35R. Konkulovskyi—2080V. Zharskiy—1111113
LJun 10 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi—910110V. Zharskiy—1112133
LJun 4 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—98100V. Zharskiy—1111123
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100LSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113
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