TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095173
Played Sep 8Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171169115111412
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVitaliy Zharskiy to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Vitaliy Zharskiy below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 97 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Vitaliy Zharskiy at 60.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 25–47 Vitaliy Zharskiy Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 25 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zharskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-47 in 72
Zharskiy
Wrong
gap of 22 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1777 vs Zharskiy 1612
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 100% vs Zharskiy 40%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 70% vs Zharskiy 20%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +5 · Zharskiy +1
Chaikovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zharskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 2.25 / Zharskiy 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zharskiy)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095173
Chaikovskyi2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 159 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Zharskiy1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 71 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it82% 53 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi4wins
AwayZharskiy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZharskiy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi60%3 of 5
AwayZharskiy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi5Zharskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaikovskyi2Zharskiy8n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi5Zharskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Chaikovskyi4Zharskiy3n = 7Chaikovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Chaikovskyi2Zharskiy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiZharskiyC − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.537.9−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiZharskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 741 vs 277 / 56551.3%49%380 / 741 vs 277 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZharskiyChaikovskyi 2.25/Zharskiy 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Zharskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi—111195143V. Zharskiy—761111122
WSep 6 · 24:45B. Chaikovskyi—461111113V. Zharskiy—11117642
WJun 11 · 09:35B. Chaikovskyi—11411113V. Zharskiy—811991
LJun 10 · 13:35B. Chaikovskyi—11461172V. Zharskiy—911114113
LJun 9 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi—710100V. Zharskiy—1112123
WJun 4 · 05:05B. Chaikovskyi—1111123V. Zharskiy—55100
LJun 3 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi—581121V. Zharskiy—11115113
LJun 2 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi—341161V. Zharskiy—11115113
LMay 28 · 05:05B. Chaikovskyi—11451192V. Zharskiy—911114113
LMay 27 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi—5640V. Zharskiy—1111113
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113LSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113WSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.6111711932B. Chaikovskyi2.20911811113LSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.501111133B. Chaikovskyi1.5083110WSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111WSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132LSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113WSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113LSep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.6111711932B. Chaikovskyi2.20911811113LSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123LSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030LSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121
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