TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100653
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10128111012––––
Serhii Maksymiv
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Serhii Maksymiv below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 63 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 59.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 32–50 Serhii Maksymiv Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 32 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Maksymiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-50 in 82
Maksymiv
Correct
gap of 18 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1574 vs Maksymiv 1716
Maksymiv
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 0% vs Maksymiv 40%
Maksymiv
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 20% vs Maksymiv 50%
Maksymiv
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy -5 · Maksymiv +1
Zharskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.25 / Maksymiv 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100653
Zharskiy2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Maksymiv1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 161 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it92% 88 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it75% 120 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy4wins
AwayMaksymiv6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksymiv leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy66.7%2 of 3
AwayMaksymiv71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy3Maksymiv7n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S2Zharskiy3Maksymiv7n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S3Zharskiy3Maksymiv7n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S4Zharskiy3Maksymiv0n = 3Zharskiy took 3 of 3
S5Zharskiy2Maksymiv1n = 3Zharskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyMaksymivZ − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.035.6−2.6per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyMaksymivBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 569 vs 453 / 75248.7%60.2%277 / 569 vs 453 / 752Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivZharskiy 2.25/Maksymiv 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—108100S. Maksymiv—1211123
LSep 9 · 02:30V. Zharskiy—69100S. Maksymiv—1111123
LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—6860S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy—1111113S. Maksymiv—8970
LJul 14 · 23:00V. Zharskiy—8780S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJun 18 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—911911113S. Maksymiv—11711882
LJun 11 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—16891182S. Maksymiv—1411117113
WJun 10 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113S. Maksymiv—5890
LJun 10 · 24:30V. Zharskiy—7160S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJun 4 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—1081111113S. Maksymiv—12115692
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030LSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100LSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113
S. Maksymiv10
WSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491LSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152LSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191
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