TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095023
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161191210––––
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:40 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maksymiv above · Vitaliy Zharskiy below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 59.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 48–32 Vitaliy Zharskiy Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 32 of their 80 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Maksymiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-32 in 80
Maksymiv
Correct
gap of 16 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1697 vs Zharskiy 1593
Maksymiv
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 20% vs Zharskiy 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 40% vs Zharskiy 20%
Maksymiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv -1 · Zharskiy -4
Zharskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.57 / Zharskiy 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13095023
Maksymiv1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 159 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it75% 118 of 158
Zharskiy2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymiv5wins
AwayZharskiy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv66.7%4 of 6
AwayZharskiy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv6Zharskiy4n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S2Maksymiv6Zharskiy4n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S3Maksymiv7Zharskiy3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S4Maksymiv0Zharskiy4n = 4Zharskiy took 4 of 4
S5Maksymiv1Zharskiy2n = 3Zharskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymivZharskiyM − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.533.7+1.8per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivZharskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 750 vs 277 / 56760.1%48.9%451 / 750 vs 277 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.57/Zharskiy 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—6860
LJul 15 · 18:05S. Maksymiv—8970V. Zharskiy—1111113
WJul 14 · 23:00S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—8780
LJun 18 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—11711882V. Zharskiy—911911113
WJun 11 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—1411117113V. Zharskiy—16891182
LJun 10 · 12:05S. Maksymiv—5890V. Zharskiy—1111113
WJun 10 · 24:30S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—7160
LJun 4 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—12115692V. Zharskiy—1081111113
LJun 3 · 13:35S. Maksymiv—4811121V. Zharskiy—11117143
WJun 2 · 22:30S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—6560
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491LSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152LSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030LSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100LSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113
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