TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095163
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
16141131210––––
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Vitaliy Zharskiy below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 66 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 61.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 18–10 Vitaliy Zharskiy Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1690 vs Zharskiy 1624
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 80% vs Zharskiy 40%
Romanenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 70% vs Zharskiy 20%
Romanenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +1 · Zharskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Romanenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 1.53 / Zharskiy 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Romanenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13095163
Romanenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 176 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 87 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it79% 133 of 168
Zharskiy2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko7wins
AwayZharskiy3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRomanenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayZharskiy66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko7Zharskiy3n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S2Romanenko7Zharskiy3n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S3Romanenko6Zharskiy4n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S4Romanenko2Zharskiy3n = 5Zharskiy took 3 of 5
S5Romanenko2Zharskiy1n = 3Romanenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoZharskiyR − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.431.9+5.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoZharskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 529 vs 277 / 56453.7%49.1%284 / 529 vs 277 / 564Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoRomanenko 1.53/Zharskiy 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 07:35A. Romanenko—1111113V. Zharskiy—4990
WJul 15 · 15:05A. Romanenko—1111113V. Zharskiy—6540
WJul 15 · 24:30A. Romanenko—1211116113V. Zharskiy—14441132
LJun 18 · 09:35A. Romanenko—7840V. Zharskiy—1111113
WJun 14 · 24:45A. Romanenko—11911113V. Zharskiy—911941
WJun 11 · 08:35A. Romanenko—1111113V. Zharskiy—5980
WJun 10 · 18:05A. Romanenko—116811163V. Zharskiy—611119142
WJun 9 · 23:00A. Romanenko—1111113V. Zharskiy—7390
LJun 3 · 15:05A. Romanenko—111161092V. Zharskiy—781112113
LJun 3 · 24:30A. Romanenko—811931V. Zharskiy—11611113
A. Romanenko10
LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132WSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Romanenko
Sep 9 · 01:00A. Romanenko1.57R. Konkulovskyi2.25—Sep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.63B. Chaikovskyi1.44—Sep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.20S. Maksymiv1.61—Sep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20I. Sukovatyi1.61—Sep 9 · 18:05A. Romanenko1.50V. Zharskiy2.50—
V. Zharskiy
Sep 9 · 24:00V. Zharskiy1.44R. Konkulovskyi2.63—Sep 9 · 01:30V. Zharskiy1.73O. Pohonov2.00—Sep 9 · 02:30V. Zharskiy2.25S. Maksymiv1.57—Sep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25S. Maksymiv1.57—Sep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.57B. Chaikovskyi2.25—Sep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.38I. Sukovatyi1.53—Sep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.73O. Pohonov2.00—Sep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.50A. Romanenko1.50—
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