TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095259
Played Sep 8Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71112141191181513
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 111 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 66.5%
111 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 43–20 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 20 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chaikovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-20 in 63
Chaikovskyi
Correct
gap of 23 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1785 vs Romanenko 1693
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Romanenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Romanenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi -1 · Romanenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Chaikovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.44 / Romanenko 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13095259
Chaikovskyi1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 90 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Romanenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi100%6 of 6
AwayRomanenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi6Romanenko4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Chaikovskyi6Romanenko4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi7Romanenko3n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi3Romanenko0n = 3Chaikovskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiRomanenkoC − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.731.1+5.6per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 742 vs 285 / 53151.4%53.7%381 / 742 vs 285 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiChaikovskyi 1.44/Romanenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi—7121111153A. Romanenko—111498132
LAug 29 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi—9640A. Romanenko—1111113
LAug 27 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi—71180A. Romanenko—1113113
WAug 22 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi—1111113A. Romanenko—9880
WAug 20 · 09:38B. Chaikovskyi—1112113A. Romanenko—61080
WAug 20 · 05:05B. Chaikovskyi—1211113A. Romanenko—10590
WAug 19 · 19:05B. Chaikovskyi—1112113A. Romanenko—31040
WAug 18 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi—1411113A. Romanenko—12470
LAug 15 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi—117111192A. Romanenko—131153113
WAug 13 · 08:35B. Chaikovskyi—111113113A. Romanenko—451581
B. Chaikovskyi10
LSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133WSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740
A. Romanenko10
WSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100WSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133
Upcoming Matches
B. Chaikovskyi
Sep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.10S. Maksymiv1.67—Sep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25R. Konkulovskyi1.57—Sep 9 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.44A. Romanenko2.63—Sep 9 · 13:35B. Chaikovskyi2.25V. Zharskiy1.57—Sep 9 · 15:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53O. Pohonov2.38—Sep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.10S. Maksymiv1.67—Sep 9 · 19:05B. Chaikovskyi1.91I. Sukovatyi1.80—
A. Romanenko
Sep 9 · 01:00A. Romanenko1.57R. Konkulovskyi2.25—Sep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.63B. Chaikovskyi1.44—Sep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.20S. Maksymiv1.61—Sep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20I. Sukovatyi1.61—Sep 9 · 18:05A. Romanenko1.50V. Zharskiy2.50—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.