TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095070
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111311911911––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Maksymiv above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 61.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 24–18 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Maksymiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-18 in 42
Maksymiv
Wrong
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1730 vs Romanenko 1677
Maksymiv
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 60% vs Romanenko 80%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 50% vs Romanenko 70%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv -1 · Romanenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.53 / Romanenko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13095070
Maksymiv1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 159 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it75% 118 of 158
Romanenko2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymiv7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
Maksymiv leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv100%6 of 6
AwayRomanenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv6Romanenko4n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S2Maksymiv7Romanenko3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S3Maksymiv7Romanenko3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S4Maksymiv3Romanenko2n = 5Maksymiv took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymivRomanenkoM − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.632.7+3.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 749 vs 283 / 52860.4%53.6%452 / 749 vs 283 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.53/Romanenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 06:05S. Maksymiv—7811101A. Romanenko—11119123
WAug 19 · 17:05S. Maksymiv—1111113A. Romanenko—3890
WAug 18 · 22:30S. Maksymiv—1213133A. Romanenko—1011110
WAug 13 · 04:35S. Maksymiv—1111113A. Romanenko—8980
WAug 12 · 17:05S. Maksymiv—81212113A. Romanenko—11101081
LAug 12 · 24:30S. Maksymiv—811991A. Romanenko—11511113
WJul 30 · 11:35S. Maksymiv—11129113A. Romanenko—8101181
LJul 29 · 15:05S. Maksymiv—88110A. Romanenko—1111133
WJul 28 · 20:00S. Maksymiv—1111123A. Romanenko—88100
WJul 23 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—11911113A. Romanenko—511881
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641
A. Romanenko10
LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132WSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133
Upcoming Matches
S. Maksymiv
Sep 9 · 24:30S. Maksymiv1.67B. Chaikovskyi2.10—Sep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.57V. Zharskiy2.25—Sep 9 · 12:05S. Maksymiv1.57V. Zharskiy2.25—Sep 9 · 14:05S. Maksymiv1.80I. Sukovatyi1.91—Sep 9 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.61A. Romanenko2.20—Sep 9 · 17:35S. Maksymiv1.67B. Chaikovskyi2.10—Sep 9 · 18:35S. Maksymiv1.36O. Pohonov3.00—
A. Romanenko
Sep 9 · 01:00A. Romanenko1.57R. Konkulovskyi2.25—Sep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.63B. Chaikovskyi1.44—Sep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.20S. Maksymiv1.61—Sep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20I. Sukovatyi1.61—Sep 9 · 18:05A. Romanenko1.50V. Zharskiy2.50—
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