TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095150
Played Sep 8Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811131210911115
Serhii Maksymiv
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Serhii Maksymiv below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 101 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 57.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 43–49 Serhii Maksymiv Roman Konkulovskyi has won 43 of their 92 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Maksymiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-49 in 92
Maksymiv
Wrong
gap of 6 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1670 vs Maksymiv 1705
Maksymiv
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Maksymiv 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Maksymiv 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi +2 · Maksymiv -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.10 / Maksymiv 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Maksymiv)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095150
Konkulovskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 120 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 92
Maksymiv1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 159 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it75% 118 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi5wins
AwayMaksymiv5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayMaksymiv100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi6Maksymiv4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi5Maksymiv5n = 10split evenly
S3Konkulovskyi6Maksymiv4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi0Maksymiv5n = 5Maksymiv took 5 of 5
S5Konkulovskyi2Maksymiv1n = 3Konkulovskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiMaksymivK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.836.7−1.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiMaksymivBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 684 vs 450 / 74849.7%60.2%340 / 684 vs 450 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivKonkulovskyi 2.10/Maksymiv 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi—1111129113S. Maksymiv—813101152
WAug 19 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi—1211113S. Maksymiv—10980
LAug 13 · 09:05R. Konkulovskyi—3730S. Maksymiv—1111113
LAug 12 · 13:05R. Konkulovskyi—67100S. Maksymiv—1111123
LAug 12 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi—111012262S. Maksymiv—9121011113
WJul 30 · 06:05R. Konkulovskyi—1110118123S. Maksymiv—412611102
LJul 29 · 16:35R. Konkulovskyi—6119111S. Maksymiv—11811133
WJul 29 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi—1111113S. Maksymiv—3980
WJul 23 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—1111113S. Maksymiv—8970
LJul 22 · 14:35R. Konkulovskyi—1111331S. Maksymiv—13811113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121
S. Maksymiv10
WSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113WSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113LSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180LSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060WSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123WSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491LSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992
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