TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100671
Played Sep 9Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Serhii Maksymiv
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Serhii Maksymiv below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 30–31 Serhii Maksymiv Ihor Sukovatyi has won 30 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maksymiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-31 in 61
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1645 vs Maksymiv 1716
Maksymiv
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 0% vs Maksymiv 60%
Maksymiv
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 30% vs Maksymiv 50%
Maksymiv
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -5 · Maksymiv +2
Sukovatyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.91 / Maksymiv 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maksymiv)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100671
Sukovatyi1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 53 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Maksymiv1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 161 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it92% 88 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it75% 120 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi4wins
AwayMaksymiv6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaksymiv leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi60%3 of 5
AwayMaksymiv80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi5Maksymiv5n = 10split evenly
S2Sukovatyi4Maksymiv6n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S3Sukovatyi6Maksymiv4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi2Maksymiv6n = 8Maksymiv took 6 of 8
S5Sukovatyi2Maksymiv2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiMaksymivS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.339.5−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiMaksymivBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 485 vs 453 / 75254.4%60.2%264 / 485 vs 453 / 752Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivSukovatyi 1.91/Maksymiv 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 08:35I. Sukovatyi—412671S. Maksymiv—111011113
WSep 2 · 16:05I. Sukovatyi—1111115123S. Maksymiv—613911102
WSep 1 · 22:30I. Sukovatyi—8111111113S. Maksymiv—11135592
LAug 20 · 04:35I. Sukovatyi—11911682S. Maksymiv—811711113
WAug 19 · 14:35I. Sukovatyi—11311113S. Maksymiv—811531
LAug 19 · 24:00I. Sukovatyi—811661S. Maksymiv—11511113
LAug 13 · 07:35I. Sukovatyi—111171472S. Maksymiv—881116113
WAug 12 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi—1211113S. Maksymiv—10280
LAug 11 · 23:00I. Sukovatyi—561171S. Maksymiv—11116113
LJul 30 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi—10980S. Maksymiv—1211113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181
S. Maksymiv10
WSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123WSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491LSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152LSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123
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