TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101161
Played Sep 9Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611511––––
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 42–30 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 30 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-30 in 72
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 12 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1685 vs Chaikovskyi 1784
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 50% vs Chaikovskyi 70%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +3 · Chaikovskyi -1
Sukovatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaikovskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.80 / Chaikovskyi 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13101161
Sukovatyi1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 170 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it97% 92 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it81% 130 of 161
Chaikovskyi1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 160 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back27% 53 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi5wins
AwayChaikovskyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi100%5 of 5
AwayChaikovskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Sukovatyi7Chaikovskyi3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Sukovatyi7Chaikovskyi3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Sukovatyi1Chaikovskyi3n = 4Chaikovskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiChaikovskyiS − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.530.4+2.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 488 vs 385 / 74854.7%51.5%267 / 488 vs 385 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiSukovatyi 1.80/Chaikovskyi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 04:35I. Sukovatyi—1311113B. Chaikovskyi—11640
LSep 2 · 12:05I. Sukovatyi—9121191B. Chaikovskyi—11149113
LSep 2 · 24:30I. Sukovatyi—99111152B. Chaikovskyi—111168113
WAug 30 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi—1111113B. Chaikovskyi—4440
LAug 27 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi—4113101B. Chaikovskyi—11511123
WAug 22 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi—1111113B. Chaikovskyi—7960
LAug 20 · 08:35I. Sukovatyi—4460B. Chaikovskyi—1111113
LAug 19 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi—511481B. Chaikovskyi—11811113
WAug 18 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi—1113113B. Chaikovskyi—51170
WAug 16 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi—1111113B. Chaikovskyi—7860
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113WSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113WSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060LSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113
B. Chaikovskyi10
LSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113WSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.6111711932B. Chaikovskyi2.20911811113LSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.501111133B. Chaikovskyi1.5083110WSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111WSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132LSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133WSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113
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