TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100662
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911118811––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 58.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 33–37 Ihor Sukovatyi Andrii Romanenko has won 33 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-37 in 70
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1713 vs Sukovatyi 1672
Romanenko
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 60% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +1 · Sukovatyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.20 / Sukovatyi 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100662
Romanenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 77 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Sukovatyi1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 170 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it97% 92 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it81% 130 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko2wins
AwaySukovatyi8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySukovatyi100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S2Romanenko5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Romanenko3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Romanenko1Sukovatyi7n = 8Sukovatyi took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoSukovatyiR − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.838.6−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 536 vs 266 / 48753.7%54.6%288 / 536 vs 266 / 487Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiRomanenko 2.20/Sukovatyi 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 02:45A. Romanenko—8950I. Sukovatyi—1111113
LAug 29 · 20:45A. Romanenko—8126131I. Sukovatyi—111011153
LAug 27 · 07:35A. Romanenko—911761I. Sukovatyi—11611113
LAug 26 · 14:05A. Romanenko—811681I. Sukovatyi—11711113
WAug 25 · 21:00A. Romanenko—11613113I. Sukovatyi—7111181
LAug 23 · 02:45A. Romanenko—461151I. Sukovatyi—11113113
WAug 20 · 07:05A. Romanenko—111168113I. Sukovatyi—47111182
LAug 19 · 13:05A. Romanenko—1051161I. Sukovatyi—12116113
LAug 19 · 02:30A. Romanenko—5111191I. Sukovatyi—11313113
LAug 16 · 01:14A. Romanenko—91190I. Sukovatyi—1113113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180LSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113WSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.501111133B. Chaikovskyi1.5083110LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132WSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100WSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113WSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060LSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662
Upcoming Matches
A. Romanenko
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I. Sukovatyi
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