TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095690
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911611––––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:29 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 60.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 20–38 Oleksandr Pohonov Andrii Romanenko has won 20 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-38 in 58
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 18 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1705 vs Pohonov 1735
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Pohonov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 70% vs Pohonov 50%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +1 · Pohonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.25 / Pohonov 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095690
Romanenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Pohonov1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 190 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it93% 96 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it77% 140 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko4wins
AwayPohonov6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko50%3 of 6
AwayPohonov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko6Pohonov4n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S2Romanenko5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S3Romanenko2Pohonov8n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S4Romanenko4Pohonov4n = 8split evenly
S5Romanenko2Pohonov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoPohonovR − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.2−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 532 vs 260 / 50253.8%51.8%286 / 532 vs 260 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovRomanenko 2.25/Pohonov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 23:45A. Romanenko—611771O. Pohonov—11611113
WAug 27 · 06:05A. Romanenko—111199113O. Pohonov—78111162
LAug 26 · 13:05A. Romanenko—1176101O. Pohonov—71111123
LAug 26 · 03:00A. Romanenko—4880O. Pohonov—1111113
WAug 26 · 01:13A. Romanenko—1111113O. Pohonov—5780
LAug 19 · 14:05A. Romanenko—1410911102O. Pohonov—1212117123
WJul 29 · 14:05A. Romanenko—781113113O. Pohonov—111181162
LJul 29 · 01:30A. Romanenko—41181192O. Pohonov—119114113
LJul 27 · 03:15A. Romanenko—1311641O. Pohonov—111311113
WJul 23 · 04:35A. Romanenko—11115113O. Pohonov—671191
A. Romanenko10
WSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132WSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100WSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161
O. Pohonov10
WSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491WSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133LSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101
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