TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100651
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116611911––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 60.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 20–40 Oleksandr Pohonov Andrii Romanenko has won 20 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-40 in 60
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 20 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1710 vs Pohonov 1755
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Pohonov 80%
Pohonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 70% vs Pohonov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +1 · Pohonov +3
Pohonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pohonov) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.50 / Pohonov 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100651
Romanenko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 77 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Pohonov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 191 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 141 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko3wins
AwayPohonov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko50%2 of 4
AwayPohonov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S2Romanenko4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S3Romanenko2Pohonov8n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S4Romanenko3Pohonov3n = 6split evenly
S5Romanenko2Pohonov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoPohonovR − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.1−2.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 534 vs 262 / 50453.8%52%287 / 534 vs 262 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovRomanenko 2.50/Pohonov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko—5960O. Pohonov—1111113
LAug 30 · 22:15A. Romanenko—71180O. Pohonov—1113113
LAug 29 · 23:45A. Romanenko—611771O. Pohonov—11611113
WAug 27 · 06:05A. Romanenko—111199113O. Pohonov—78111162
LAug 26 · 13:05A. Romanenko—1176101O. Pohonov—71111123
LAug 26 · 03:00A. Romanenko—4880O. Pohonov—1111113
WAug 26 · 01:13A. Romanenko—1111113O. Pohonov—5780
LAug 19 · 14:05A. Romanenko—1410911102O. Pohonov—1212117123
WJul 29 · 14:05A. Romanenko—781113113O. Pohonov—111181162
LJul 29 · 01:30A. Romanenko—41181192O. Pohonov—119114113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.501111133B. Chaikovskyi1.5083110LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132WSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100WSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113
O. Pohonov10
LSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882WSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491WSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133LSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492
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