TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100629
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181131311––––
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 57 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 66.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 20–43 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Andrii Romanenko has won 20 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-43 in 63
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
gap of 23 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1692 vs Chaikovskyi 1802
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 70% vs Chaikovskyi 90%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko -1 · Chaikovskyi +3
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Chaikovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.50 / Chaikovskyi 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100629
Romanenko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 77 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Chaikovskyi1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 91 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko3wins
AwayChaikovskyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko75%3 of 4
AwayChaikovskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Romanenko4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Romanenko3Chaikovskyi7n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Romanenko0Chaikovskyi3n = 3Chaikovskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoChaikovskyiR − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.136.7−5.6per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 533 vs 383 / 74453.7%51.5%286 / 533 vs 383 / 744Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiRomanenko 2.50/Chaikovskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 23:00A. Romanenko—111498132B. Chaikovskyi—7121111153
WAug 29 · 22:45A. Romanenko—1111113B. Chaikovskyi—9640
WAug 27 · 04:35A. Romanenko—1113113B. Chaikovskyi—71180
LAug 22 · 21:15A. Romanenko—9880B. Chaikovskyi—1111113
LAug 20 · 09:38A. Romanenko—61080B. Chaikovskyi—1112113
LAug 20 · 05:05A. Romanenko—10590B. Chaikovskyi—1211113
LAug 19 · 19:05A. Romanenko—31040B. Chaikovskyi—1112113
LAug 18 · 21:00A. Romanenko—12470B. Chaikovskyi—1411113
WAug 15 · 22:15A. Romanenko—131153113B. Chaikovskyi—117111192
LAug 13 · 08:35A. Romanenko—451581B. Chaikovskyi—111113113
A. Romanenko10
LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132WSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100WSep 8 · 21:00S. Maksymiv1.53813991A. Romanenko2.38111111113LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111WSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132LSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133WSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111
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