TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100648
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711118911311
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVitaliy Zharskiy to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Vitaliy Zharskiy at 60.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 47–25 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 25 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zharskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-25 in 72
Zharskiy
Wrong
gap of 22 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1574 vs Chaikovskyi 1784
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 0% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 20% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy -5 · Chaikovskyi -1
Zharskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zharskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 1.61 / Chaikovskyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zharskiy)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100648
Zharskiy1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 50 of 62
Chaikovskyi2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 160 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back27% 53 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy6wins
AwayChaikovskyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZharskiy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy80%4 of 5
AwayChaikovskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Zharskiy8Chaikovskyi2n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S3Zharskiy5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Zharskiy3Chaikovskyi4n = 7Chaikovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Zharskiy2Chaikovskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyChaikovskyiZ − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.933.5+4.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 569 vs 383 / 74548.7%51.4%277 / 569 vs 383 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZharskiyZharskiy 1.61/Chaikovskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Zharskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 20:00V. Zharskiy—761111122B. Chaikovskyi—111195143
LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy—11117642B. Chaikovskyi—461111113
LJun 11 · 09:35V. Zharskiy—811991B. Chaikovskyi—11411113
WJun 10 · 13:35V. Zharskiy—911114113B. Chaikovskyi—11461172
WJun 9 · 20:00V. Zharskiy—1112123B. Chaikovskyi—710100
LJun 4 · 05:05V. Zharskiy—55100B. Chaikovskyi—1111123
WJun 3 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—11115113B. Chaikovskyi—581121
WJun 2 · 23:30V. Zharskiy—11115113B. Chaikovskyi—341161
WMay 28 · 05:05V. Zharskiy—911114113B. Chaikovskyi—11451192
WMay 27 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113B. Chaikovskyi—5640
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 10 · 10:35S. Maksymiv1.4014168113V. Zharskiy2.7512141191LSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113WSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113WSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113LSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123LSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 09:05S. Maksymiv1.73118711113B. Chaikovskyi2.0071111282WSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113LSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113WSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093LSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.501111133B. Chaikovskyi1.5083110WSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111
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