TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106147
Played Sep 10Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121614811119––
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maksymiv above · Vitaliy Zharskiy below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 95 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Maksymiv at 61.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 50–32 Vitaliy Zharskiy Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 32 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maksymiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-32 in 82
Maksymiv
Correct
gap of 18 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1731 vs Zharskiy 1601
Maksymiv
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 80% vs Zharskiy 40%
Maksymiv
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 70% vs Zharskiy 30%
Maksymiv
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv +3 · Zharskiy -2
Maksymiv
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Maksymiv) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.40 / Zharskiy 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Maksymiv)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106147
Maksymiv1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 164 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it92% 91 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it75% 123 of 164
Zharskiy2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 56 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymiv6wins
AwayZharskiy4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksymiv leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv71.4%5 of 7
AwayZharskiy66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv7Zharskiy3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S2Maksymiv7Zharskiy3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S3Maksymiv7Zharskiy3n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S4Maksymiv0Zharskiy3n = 3Zharskiy took 3 of 3
S5Maksymiv1Zharskiy2n = 3Zharskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymivZharskiyM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.633.0+2.6per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivZharskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 760 vs 280 / 57360.3%48.9%458 / 760 vs 280 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.40/Zharskiy 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:05S. Maksymiv—1211123V. Zharskiy—108100
WSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv—1111123V. Zharskiy—69100
WJul 16 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—6860
LJul 15 · 18:05S. Maksymiv—8970V. Zharskiy—1111113
WJul 14 · 23:00S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—8780
LJun 18 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—11711882V. Zharskiy—911911113
WJun 11 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—1411117113V. Zharskiy—16891182
LJun 10 · 12:05S. Maksymiv—5890V. Zharskiy—1111113
WJun 10 · 24:30S. Maksymiv—1111113V. Zharskiy—7160
LJun 4 · 10:35S. Maksymiv—12115692V. Zharskiy—1081111113
S. Maksymiv10
WSep 10 · 09:05S. Maksymiv1.73118711113B. Chaikovskyi2.0071111282WSep 10 · 07:35S. Maksymiv1.6191111123A. Romanenko2.201185101WSep 10 · 06:05S. Maksymiv1.331111113O. Pohonov3.256550LSep 10 · 04:35S. Maksymiv1.736270I. Sukovatyi2.001111113WSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113WSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113LSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180LSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060WSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123WSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113WSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113WSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113LSep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.6111711932B. Chaikovskyi2.20911811113LSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123LSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100
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