TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105673
Played Sep 10Finished
Serhii Maksymiv
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611211711––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maksymiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
611211711––––
H2H Serhii Maksymiv 31–31 Ihor Sukovatyi Dead even across their 62 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 15h before this match
Sukovatyi beat Maksymiv 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maksymiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-31 in 62
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymiv 1707 vs Sukovatyi 1675
Maksymiv
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymiv 60% vs Sukovatyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymiv 50% vs Sukovatyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymiv +2 · Sukovatyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymiv 1.73 / Sukovatyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maksymiv)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105673
Maksymiv1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 164 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it92% 91 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it75% 123 of 164
Sukovatyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymiv5wins
AwaySukovatyi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymiv75%3 of 4
AwaySukovatyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymiv4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Maksymiv5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Maksymiv3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Maksymiv6Sukovatyi2n = 8Maksymiv took 6 of 8
S5Maksymiv2Sukovatyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymivSukovatyiM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.0−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymivSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 756 vs 267 / 48960.2%54.6%455 / 756 vs 267 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivMaksymiv 1.73/Sukovatyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 14:05S. Maksymiv—81060I. Sukovatyi—1112113
WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv—111011113I. Sukovatyi—412671
LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv—613911102I. Sukovatyi—1111115123
LSep 1 · 22:30S. Maksymiv—11135592I. Sukovatyi—8111111113
WAug 20 · 04:35S. Maksymiv—811711113I. Sukovatyi—11911682
LAug 19 · 14:35S. Maksymiv—811531I. Sukovatyi—11311113
WAug 19 · 24:00S. Maksymiv—11511113I. Sukovatyi—811661
WAug 13 · 07:35S. Maksymiv—881116113I. Sukovatyi—111171472
LAug 12 · 19:05S. Maksymiv—10280I. Sukovatyi—1211113
WAug 11 · 23:00S. Maksymiv—11116113I. Sukovatyi—561171
S. Maksymiv10
WSep 10 · 06:05S. Maksymiv1.331111113O. Pohonov3.256550WSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113WSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113LSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180LSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060WSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123WSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi2.1061212113S. Maksymiv1.6711101031WSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491LSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113WSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113WSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060LSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113
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