TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106821
Played Sep 10Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210911811––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 65.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 10–20 Andrii Romanenko Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-20 in 30
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1610 vs Romanenko 1700
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 60% vs Romanenko 40%
Zharskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 30% vs Romanenko 50%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy +2 · Romanenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Romanenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.63 / Romanenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Romanenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106821
Zharskiy2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 56 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Romanenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 178 of 292
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 136 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy1wins
AwayRomanenko9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRomanenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRomanenko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy2Romanenko8n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S2Zharskiy3Romanenko7n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S3Zharskiy2Romanenko8n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S4Zharskiy1Romanenko2n = 3Romanenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyRomanenkoZ − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.236.9−8.7per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 571 vs 289 / 53949%53.6%280 / 571 vs 289 / 539Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoZharskiy 2.63/Romanenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy—10860A. Romanenko—1211113
LSep 8 · 22:00V. Zharskiy—143100A. Romanenko—1611123
LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy—4990A. Romanenko—1111113
LJul 15 · 15:05V. Zharskiy—6540A. Romanenko—1111113
LJul 15 · 24:30V. Zharskiy—14441132A. Romanenko—1211116113
WJun 18 · 09:35V. Zharskiy—1111113A. Romanenko—7840
LJun 14 · 24:45V. Zharskiy—911941A. Romanenko—11911113
LJun 11 · 08:35V. Zharskiy—5980A. Romanenko—1111113
LJun 10 · 18:05V. Zharskiy—611119142A. Romanenko—116811163
LJun 9 · 23:00V. Zharskiy—7390A. Romanenko—1111113
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 10 · 10:35S. Maksymiv1.4014168113V. Zharskiy2.7512141191LSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113WSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113WSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113LSep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.6111711932B. Chaikovskyi2.20911811113LSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123LSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100
A. Romanenko10
LSep 10 · 07:35S. Maksymiv1.6191111123A. Romanenko2.201185101LSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113LSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113WSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180LSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113WSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.501111133B. Chaikovskyi1.5083110LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113LSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi1.447121111153A. Romanenko2.63111498132
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A. Romanenko
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