TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100675
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811116117––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVitaliy Zharskiy to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vitaliy Zharskiy at 54.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 18–15 Oleksandr Pohonov Oleksandr Pohonov has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pohonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-15 in 33
Zharskiy
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1558 vs Pohonov 1766
Pohonov
Wrong
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 0% vs Pohonov 80%
Pohonov
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 10% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy -5 · Pohonov -1
Zharskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pohonov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 1.91 / Pohonov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pohonov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100675
Zharskiy1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Pohonov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 191 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 141 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy5wins
AwayPohonov5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy83.3%5 of 6
AwayPohonov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy6Pohonov4n = 10Zharskiy took 6 of 10
S2Zharskiy5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S3Zharskiy5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S4Zharskiy5Pohonov2n = 7Zharskiy took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyPohonovZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.234.4+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 571 vs 263 / 50648.5%52%277 / 571 vs 263 / 506Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovZharskiy 1.91/Pohonov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zharskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 01:30V. Zharskiy—551191O. Pohonov—11119113
LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy—11241192O. Pohonov—611116113
LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy—3119101O. Pohonov—11711123
LJul 15 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—61181492O. Pohonov—1161112113
LJul 14 · 21:30V. Zharskiy—6880O. Pohonov—1111113
WJun 18 · 08:35V. Zharskiy—11911113O. Pohonov—611881
WJun 13 · 20:15V. Zharskiy—11711113O. Pohonov—911631
WMay 28 · 08:35V. Zharskiy—1111113O. Pohonov—8570
WMay 26 · 23:30V. Zharskiy—111110123O. Pohonov—6912101
WMay 20 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113O. Pohonov—3640
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113LSep 9 · 13:35V. Zharskiy1.6111711932B. Chaikovskyi2.20911811113LSep 9 · 12:05V. Zharskiy2.25108100S. Maksymiv1.571211123LSep 9 · 02:30S. Maksymiv1.571111123V. Zharskiy2.2569100LSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030LSep 8 · 22:00A. Romanenko1.531611123V. Zharskiy2.38143100LSep 8 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi2.25111195143V. Zharskiy1.57761111122WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113
O. Pohonov10
LSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113WSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882WSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191LSep 8 · 23:30S. Maksymiv1.36111112113O. Pohonov3.00381491WSep 8 · 21:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5399110O. Pohonov2.381111133LSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113
Upcoming Matches
V. Zharskiy
Nothing scheduled
O. Pohonov
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