TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088657
Played Sep 7Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119118––––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 33–36 Viktor Slozka Iurii Hrekh has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-36 in 69
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1673 vs Slozka 1693
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -3 · Slozka +1
Hrekh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.73 / Slozka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088657
Hrekh1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 172 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it96% 97 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 134 of 172
Slozka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 139 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh71.4%5 of 7
AwaySlozka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Slozka3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh6Slozka4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh1Slozka4n = 5Slozka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhSlozkaH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.634.5−0.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 510 vs 380 / 84151.4%45.2%262 / 510 vs 380 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.73/Slozka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—3980
LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh—811581V. Slozka—11711113
WSep 2 · 21:30I. Hrekh—111158113V. Slozka—69111152
WAug 30 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11138113V. Slozka—7111181
WAug 28 · 09:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—9980
LAug 27 · 15:05I. Hrekh—11950V. Slozka—1311113
LAug 26 · 23:00I. Hrekh—71390V. Slozka—1115113
LAug 23 · 22:45I. Hrekh—117761V. Slozka—71111113
LJul 31 · 09:05I. Hrekh—127471V. Slozka—101111113
WJul 30 · 15:05I. Hrekh—1211113V. Slozka—10870
I. Hrekh10
LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113
V. Slozka10
WSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171LSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880
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