TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089124
Played Sep 8Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118115––––
Gregory Kuzmenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Gregory Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 62.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 8–23 Gregory Kuzmenko Iurii Hrekh has won 8 of their 31 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-23 in 31
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 15 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1682 vs Kuzmenko 1801
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +2 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.25 / Kuzmenko 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089124
Hrekh2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Kuzmenko1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh3wins
AwayKuzmenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh42.9%3 of 7
AwayKuzmenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Kuzmenko3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrekh1Kuzmenko5n = 6Kuzmenko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhKuzmenkoH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.735.7−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 511 vs 278 / 56551.5%49.2%263 / 511 vs 278 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoHrekh 2.25/Kuzmenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 09:05I. Hrekh—11311872G. Kuzmenko—811511113
WAug 13 · 16:35I. Hrekh—1111113G. Kuzmenko—4960
LAug 13 · 24:00I. Hrekh—6780G. Kuzmenko—1111113
LJul 24 · 09:05I. Hrekh—3117101G. Kuzmenko—11711123
LJul 23 · 16:35I. Hrekh—11118952G. Kuzmenko—381111113
WJul 22 · 22:30I. Hrekh—1111113G. Kuzmenko—3160
LJul 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh—107150G. Kuzmenko—1211173
LJul 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh—187851G. Kuzmenko—161111113
WJul 15 · 20:00I. Hrekh—11611113G. Kuzmenko—611751
LJul 9 · 18:35I. Hrekh—1275121G. Kuzmenko—101111143
I. Hrekh10
WSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100LSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113WSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113
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