TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088605
Played Sep 8Finished
Viktor Slozka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111719115117511
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 106 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 26–24 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 24 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krokhmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-24 in 50
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1682 vs Krokhmal 1637
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 20% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -2 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.91 / Krokhmal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13088605
Slozka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 139 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Krokhmal1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 46 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka6wins
AwayKrokhmal4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%5 of 5
AwayKrokhmal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S2Slozka3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S3Slozka4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S4Slozka4Krokhmal1n = 5Slozka took 4 of 5
S5Slozka3Krokhmal0n = 3Slozka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaKrokhmalS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.735.4+2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 842 vs 157 / 34245.1%45.9%380 / 842 vs 157 / 342Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalSlozka 1.91/Krokhmal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:15V. Slozka—781111113V. Krokhmal—11115742
WSep 1 · 22:00V. Slozka—1110911123V. Krokhmal—712119102
LJul 31 · 05:35V. Slozka—81090V. Krokhmal—1112113
LJul 30 · 14:05V. Slozka—871181V. Krokhmal—11117113
WJul 29 · 22:30V. Slozka—137911123V. Krokhmal—1111114102
LJul 28 · 02:45V. Slozka—7980V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 24 · 06:35V. Slozka—11118153V. Krokhmal—7811131
LJul 23 · 14:05V. Slozka—9890V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 23 · 03:00V. Slozka—1211113V. Krokhmal—10750
WJul 20 · 03:15V. Slozka—1112113V. Krokhmal—41050
V. Slozka10
LSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100LSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980WSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171LSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101
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