TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099774
Played Sep 10Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11881111812141210
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 65.3%
105 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 66–42 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 42 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-42 in 108
Loboda
Correct
gap of 24 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1641 vs Vorsuliak 1599
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 20% vs Vorsuliak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Vorsuliak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Vorsuliak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.44 / Vorsuliak 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13099774
Loboda1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 172 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it89% 96 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it71% 139 of 197
Vorsuliak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog43% won 104 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda8wins
AwayVorsuliak2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda85.7%6 of 7
AwayVorsuliak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda7Vorsuliak3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Loboda7Vorsuliak3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S3Loboda8Vorsuliak2n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S4Loboda3Vorsuliak3n = 6split evenly
S5Loboda2Vorsuliak1n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaVorsuliakL − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.4+7.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 934 vs 449 / 88951.7%50.5%483 / 934 vs 449 / 889Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.44/Vorsuliak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 17:35M. Loboda—811311113Y. Vorsuliak—11611882
WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda—111411133Y. Vorsuliak—7166111
WSep 3 · 16:05M. Loboda—1112113Y. Vorsuliak—41030
LSep 3 · 24:00M. Loboda—11811672Y. Vorsuliak—811811113
WAug 28 · 05:05M. Loboda—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—8640
LAug 27 · 12:35M. Loboda—611571Y. Vorsuliak—11311113
WAug 26 · 20:30M. Loboda—111011113Y. Vorsuliak—912571
WAug 13 · 12:35M. Loboda—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—9910
WAug 10 · 20:45M. Loboda—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—5290
WAug 10 · 24:15M. Loboda—711117113Y. Vorsuliak—11781152
M. Loboda10
WSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda1.6181111282D. Shchegelskyi2.20118911113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113LSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171WSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581LSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113
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