TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099791
Played Sep 9Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11211138111210118
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 5–11 Vitalii Krokhmal Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1595 vs Krokhmal 1637
Krokhmal
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Vorsuliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 50% vs Krokhmal 20%
Vorsuliak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak -3 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.91 / Krokhmal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13099791
Vorsuliak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 104 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Krokhmal1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 49 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak50%2 of 4
AwayKrokhmal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Vorsuliak5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorsuliak8Krokhmal2n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S4Vorsuliak3Krokhmal5n = 8Krokhmal took 5 of 8
S5Vorsuliak2Krokhmal5n = 7Krokhmal took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakKrokhmalV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.9+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 887 vs 158 / 34450.5%45.9%448 / 887 vs 158 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalVorsuliak 1.91/Krokhmal 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak—118111152V. Krokhmal—131148113
LJul 30 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—69100V. Krokhmal—1111123
LJul 30 · 24:00Y. Vorsuliak—11811992V. Krokhmal—711911113
WJul 27 · 20:15Y. Vorsuliak—51115113V. Krokhmal—1191391
LJul 24 · 10:05Y. Vorsuliak—71111792V. Krokhmal—118911113
LJul 23 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—11911962V. Krokhmal—811511113
WJul 9 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak—118129113V. Krokhmal—611101142
WJul 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—1111113V. Krokhmal—7580
WJul 6 · 01:45Y. Vorsuliak—711411113V. Krokhmal—11811872
LJul 4 · 23:45Y. Vorsuliak—711139102V. Krokhmal—1191111123
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581LSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Vorsuliak
Sep 10 · 01:00Y. Vorsuliak2.63M. Loboda1.44—Sep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.50V. Slozka1.50—Sep 10 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63M. Loboda1.44—Sep 10 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63I. Hrekh1.44—Sep 10 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.61D. Shchegelskyi2.20—Sep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.91V. Krokhmal1.80—Sep 10 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak2.50V. Slozka1.50—
V. Krokhmal
Sep 10 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.83M. Loboda1.83—Sep 10 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.80V. Slozka1.91—Sep 10 · 02:30V. Krokhmal1.57D. Shchegelskyi2.25—Sep 10 · 12:05V. Krokhmal2.10I. Hrekh1.67—Sep 10 · 14:05V. Krokhmal1.80V. Slozka1.91—Sep 10 · 17:35V. Krokhmal1.80Y. Vorsuliak1.91—Sep 10 · 18:35V. Krokhmal1.57D. Shchegelskyi2.25—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.