TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099789
Played Sep 9Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116116––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.6%
49 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 41–30 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 30 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-30 in 71
Hrekh
Correct
gap of 11 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1701 vs Krokhmal 1648
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 70% vs Krokhmal 20%
Hrekh
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +3 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Krokhmal 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13099789
Hrekh1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 173 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it96% 98 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 135 of 173
Krokhmal2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 109 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh57.1%4 of 7
AwayKrokhmal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Krokhmal3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh7Krokhmal3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh2Krokhmal6n = 8Krokhmal took 6 of 8
S5Hrekh1Krokhmal3n = 4Krokhmal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhKrokhmalH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.9+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 512 vs 158 / 34351.6%46.1%264 / 512 vs 158 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.67/Krokhmal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh—811111032V. Krokhmal—119412113
LAug 21 · 04:35I. Hrekh—1161031V. Krokhmal—71112113
WAug 16 · 21:45I. Hrekh—119114113V. Krokhmal—81171162
WAug 8 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11116113V. Krokhmal—591151
LAug 6 · 04:35I. Hrekh—119115122V. Krokhmal—211711143
WAug 5 · 12:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Krokhmal—9650
LAug 4 · 21:30I. Hrekh—12891152V. Krokhmal—1011114113
LAug 3 · 02:45I. Hrekh—14811111V. Krokhmal—16115133
LJul 31 · 07:35I. Hrekh—991271V. Krokhmal—111110113
WJul 30 · 12:05I. Hrekh—1211113V. Krokhmal—10260
I. Hrekh10
WSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh2.10105100M. Loboda1.671211123LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111
Upcoming Matches
I. Hrekh
V. Krokhmal
Sep 9 · 22:00V. Krokhmal1.80Y. Vorsuliak1.91—Sep 10 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.80M. Loboda1.91—Sep 10 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.80V. Slozka1.91—Sep 10 · 02:30V. Krokhmal1.57D. Shchegelskyi2.25—Sep 10 · 12:05V. Krokhmal2.10I. Hrekh1.67—Sep 10 · 14:05V. Krokhmal1.80V. Slozka1.91—Sep 10 · 17:35V. Krokhmal1.80Y. Vorsuliak1.91—Sep 10 · 18:35V. Krokhmal1.57D. Shchegelskyi2.25—
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