TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099626
Played Sep 10Finished
Viktor Slozka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116118––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 26–25 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 25 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-25 in 51
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1677 vs Krokhmal 1611
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.91 / Krokhmal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13099626
Slozka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 137 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back26% 37 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Krokhmal1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 49 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka5wins
AwayKrokhmal5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%4 of 4
AwayKrokhmal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Slozka2Krokhmal8n = 10Krokhmal took 8 of 10
S3Slozka4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S4Slozka5Krokhmal1n = 6Slozka took 5 of 6
S5Slozka3Krokhmal1n = 4Slozka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaKrokhmalS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.8+0.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 843 vs 158 / 34645.2%45.7%381 / 843 vs 158 / 346Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalSlozka 1.91/Krokhmal 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka—917111152V. Krokhmal—111957113
WSep 5 · 22:15V. Slozka—781111113V. Krokhmal—11115742
WSep 1 · 22:00V. Slozka—1110911123V. Krokhmal—712119102
LJul 31 · 05:35V. Slozka—81090V. Krokhmal—1112113
LJul 30 · 14:05V. Slozka—871181V. Krokhmal—11117113
WJul 29 · 22:30V. Slozka—137911123V. Krokhmal—1111114102
LJul 28 · 02:45V. Slozka—7980V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 24 · 06:35V. Slozka—11118153V. Krokhmal—7811131
LJul 23 · 14:05V. Slozka—9890V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 23 · 03:00V. Slozka—1211113V. Krokhmal—10750
V. Slozka10
WSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113LSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.6711119113V. Slozka2.10891171WSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113LSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100LSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980WSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171LSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113WSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113LSep 7 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko1.61581111113V. Krokhmal2.2011116292LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890
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