TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105653
Played Sep 10Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111210911119611
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 34–36 Viktor Slozka Iurii Hrekh has won 34 of their 70 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-36 in 70
Slozka
Correct
gap of 2 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1761 vs Slozka 1710
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 100% vs Slozka 80%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 100% vs Slozka 50%
Hrekh
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +5 · Slozka +2
Hrekh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105653
Hrekh1.67
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 174 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it78% 136 of 174
Slozka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 139 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back27% 37 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh71.4%5 of 7
AwaySlozka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Slozka3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh6Slozka4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S4Hrekh2Slozka4n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhSlozkaH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.435.5−1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 519 vs 383 / 84352.2%45.4%271 / 519 vs 383 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh—11119113V. Slozka—891171
WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—3980
LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh—811581V. Slozka—11711113
WSep 2 · 21:30I. Hrekh—111158113V. Slozka—69111152
WAug 30 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11138113V. Slozka—7111181
WAug 28 · 09:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—9980
LAug 27 · 15:05I. Hrekh—11950V. Slozka—1311113
LAug 26 · 23:00I. Hrekh—71390V. Slozka—1115113
LAug 23 · 22:45I. Hrekh—117761V. Slozka—71111113
LJul 31 · 09:05I. Hrekh—127471V. Slozka—101111113
I. Hrekh10
WSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171WSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.6711119113V. Slozka2.10891171WSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980
V. Slozka10
WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031WSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751WSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680WSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113LSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.6711119113V. Slozka2.10891171WSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113LSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100LSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980
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