TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106426
Played Sep 10Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115311117––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 66 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 64.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 19–12 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Hrekh
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1754 vs Vorsuliak 1585
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 100% vs Vorsuliak 40%
Hrekh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 90% vs Vorsuliak 40%
Hrekh
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +5 · Vorsuliak -1
Hrekh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hrekh) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.44 / Vorsuliak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Hrekh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106426
Hrekh1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 174 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it78% 136 of 174
Vorsuliak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 105 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh7wins
AwayVorsuliak3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrekh leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh75%6 of 8
AwayVorsuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh8Vorsuliak2n = 10Hrekh took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh6Vorsuliak4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh5Vorsuliak2n = 7Hrekh took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhVorsuliakH − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.8+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 518 vs 450 / 89252.1%50.5%270 / 518 vs 450 / 892Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.44/Vorsuliak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh—114131072Y. Vorsuliak—7111112113
LSep 3 · 12:05I. Hrekh—118551Y. Vorsuliak—61111113
WSep 2 · 20:00I. Hrekh—13119113Y. Vorsuliak—1161171
LAug 28 · 06:05I. Hrekh—5560Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WAug 27 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11511113Y. Vorsuliak—911251
WAug 26 · 21:30I. Hrekh—1211113Y. Vorsuliak—10460
WAug 13 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11114113Y. Vorsuliak—761161
WAug 10 · 21:45I. Hrekh—13119113Y. Vorsuliak—1161191
WAug 9 · 20:15I. Hrekh—1112143Y. Vorsuliak—610120
WJul 31 · 06:05I. Hrekh—71112113Y. Vorsuliak—1181081
I. Hrekh10
WSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.6711119113V. Slozka2.10891171WSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.003980LSep 7 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.67811111032V. Krokhmal2.10119412113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161WSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751LSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102LSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581LSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113
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