TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111054
Played Sep 11Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118117711811116
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 34–37 Viktor Slozka Iurii Hrekh has won 34 of their 71 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-37 in 71
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1704 vs Slozka 1693
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Slozka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -3 · Slozka +2
Hrekh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111054
Hrekh1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 177 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it96% 102 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it79% 139 of 177
Slozka2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 140 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back26% 37 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh83.3%5 of 6
AwaySlozka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh6Slozka4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S2Hrekh7Slozka3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S3Hrekh2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S4Hrekh3Slozka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhSlozkaH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.836.4−0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 524 vs 384 / 84351.9%45.6%272 / 524 vs 384 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh—61291162V. Slozka—1110119113
WSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh—11119113V. Slozka—891171
WSep 7 · 23:00I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—3980
LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh—811581V. Slozka—11711113
WSep 2 · 21:30I. Hrekh—111158113V. Slozka—69111152
WAug 30 · 21:45I. Hrekh—11138113V. Slozka—7111181
WAug 28 · 09:05I. Hrekh—1111113V. Slozka—9980
LAug 27 · 15:05I. Hrekh—11950V. Slozka—1311113
LAug 26 · 23:00I. Hrekh—71390V. Slozka—1115113
LAug 23 · 22:45I. Hrekh—117761V. Slozka—71111113
I. Hrekh10
LSep 11 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.671168111V. Krokhmal2.1091111133LSep 11 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.447590Y. Vorsuliak2.631111113LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.00612851M. Loboda1.73111011113WSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171WSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121
V. Slozka10
WSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182WSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.006970WSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031WSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751WSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680WSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113
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